19 Oct · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1575
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benes
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (67)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H25-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-20)