19 Oct · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1485
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 65% (75)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)