19 Oct · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1485
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Lasota rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (79)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.