19 Oct · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (170)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)