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18 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
FBFilip Baranski
🇨🇿Filip Baranski
ELO 1376
2-3Final setsToborek won
STSzymon Toborek
🇨🇿Szymon Toborek
ELO 1389
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Toborek at 51%. The actual result was Szymon Toborek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Filip Baranski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Set handicap
Filip Baranski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Filip Baranski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Filip Baranski is favoured to win, below means Szymon Toborek.

▲ Filip Baranskipre 45% → final 98%
Szymon Toborek ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsBaranski recovered from 42%58 points · 3 games