19 Oct · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1569
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molka
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1523
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H87-135
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.