19 Oct · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1487
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hendrych
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1460
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (118)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.