19 Oct · 17:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1440
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ogrocki
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1439
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.