19 Oct · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Baros
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 66% (68)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H12-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.