19 Oct · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1424
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1545
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (75)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)