19 Oct · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1531
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (99)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.