19 Oct · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (170)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.