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19 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1555
3-0Final setsMolka won
MLMichal Lysakowski
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1570
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 80.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Lysakowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 50% → final 95%
Michal Lysakowski ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts60 points · 3 games