19 Oct · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1462
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Chmelicek
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kaisler
ELO 1322
FormWWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)