19 Oct · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvor
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1439
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)