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19 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1548
1-3Final setsStapor won
DSDawid Stapor
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1629
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stapor at 55%. The actual result was Dawid Stapor 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stapor favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 79.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Stapor −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Stapor −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Dawid Stapor.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 48% → final 61%
Dawid Stapor ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 4 games