19 Oct · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1665
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benak
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1643
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (36)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H23-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.