19 Oct · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ST
🇨🇿Szymon Toborek
ELO 1386
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rokita
GR
🇨🇿Gracjan Rokita
ELO 1394
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rokita
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.