20 Oct · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krupnik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1519
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (159)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H22-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.