20 Oct · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1452
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Filipek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vojna
ELO 1417
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Vojna goes over total as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H14-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.