20 Oct · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1562
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1612
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (144)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.