20 Oct · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1518
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Matus
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1429
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (102)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)