20 Oct · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1687
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kocab
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1581
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)