20 Oct · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1545
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1490
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (170)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.