20 Oct · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1448
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (159)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)