20 Oct · 10:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1581
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1707
FormLWLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H22-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)