20 Oct · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1448
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vranca
ELO 1367
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)