Maksim Ovcharenko vs Mateusz Burkacki

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20 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1653

1-3Final setsBurkacki won

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1476

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 73%. The actual result was Mateusz Burkacki 1-3 — the underdog won.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.27

Upset

Total 73.5

75 points played

Over

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Burkacki.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 72% → final 2%

Mateusz Burkacki ▼

Biggest swing 76 ptsBurkacki recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games