Michal Lysakowski vs Maksim Ovcharenko

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20 Oct · 12:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1544

3-2Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1637

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.52

Upset

Total 76.5

98 points played

Over

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Maksim Ovcharenko.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 38% → final 97%

Maksim Ovcharenko ▼

Biggest swing 88 ptsLysakowski recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games