20 Oct · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1384
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szostak
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1467
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Szostak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)