20 Oct · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1390
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Komorowicz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1414
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.