21 Oct · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1581
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)