21 Oct · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1651
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1551
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (184)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)