21 Oct · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1651
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Skvrna
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1517
FormLLLWW
61%
39%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (184)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+134
H2H17-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-12)