21 Oct · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1600
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Galus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Galus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)