21 Oct · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1524
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lasota
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1464
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ogrocki
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)