21 Oct · 15:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1728
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1587
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)