21 Oct · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1607
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1603
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.