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21 Oct · 14:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
VNVaclav Nadvornik
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1721
3-1Final setsNadvornik won
MCMartin Cerny
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1724
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cerny at 51%. The actual result was Vaclav Nadvornik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Cerny favoured — closing 1.62
Upset
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martin Cerny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Martin Cerny −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Nadvornik is favoured to win, below means Martin Cerny.

▲ Vaclav Nadvornikpre 53% → final 89%
Martin Cerny ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsNadvornik recovered from 43%71 points · 4 games