21 Oct · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FB
🇨🇿Filip Baranski
ELO 1374
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovtanyuk
DK
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kovtanyuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.