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22 Oct · 08:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJiri Matus
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1464
0-3Final setsSturma won
PSPatrik Sturma
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1446
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Matus at 54%. The actual result was Patrik Sturma 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Matus favoured — closing 1.77
Upset
Total 76.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Matus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Matus −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.98
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jiri Matus is favoured to win, below means Patrik Sturma.

▲ Jiri Matuspre 58% → final 3%
Patrik Sturma ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSturma recovered from 38%52 points · 3 games