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22 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1657
3-2Final setsOvcharenko won
JMJan Masternak
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1511
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 55%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ovcharenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ovcharenko −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Jan Masternak.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 52% → final 98%
Jan Masternak ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games