22 Oct · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H27-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.