22 Oct · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vich
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1535
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Barsa🌟Barsa covers set handicap as underdog 82% (33)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H16-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.