22 Oct · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1535
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Barsa
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Barsa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (94)
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)