22 Oct · 22:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1450
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vidourek
RJ
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1429
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Vidourek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (19)
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.