22 Oct · 22:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1498
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jnr
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1403
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)