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22 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1657
1-3Final setsWloszek won
SWSylwester Wloszek
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1544
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Sylwester Wloszek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ovcharenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ovcharenko −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Sylwester Wloszek.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 55% → final 35%
Sylwester Wloszek ▼
Biggest swing 45 ptsWloszek recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games