22 Oct · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1429
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chmelicek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1487
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)