22 Oct · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vich
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H26-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-17)